Warren Buffett once said:
"It is far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair business at a wonderful price."
But how does Buffett identify a wonderful company?
A lot has been written about Warren Buffett and his strategy and philosophy on investing. However, there has been almost no writing on the specifics he looks for in a business. It can be hard to take anything concrete out of Buffett’s quotes and talks. This is why I’m writing this article. To give you an idea of what Warren Buffett looks for regarding financial metrics.
My goal is that you will improve your investing process by knowing what the greatest investor of all time thinks about this.
So, based on Berkshire Hathaway’s shareholders’ letters, and the book “Warren Buffett: Investor and Entrepreneur” by Todd A. Finkle, we will explore this subject.
Here are 8 metrics Buffett used to identify wonderful companies:
High intrinsic value
Buffett is known to buy companies far below their intrinsic value to get a margin of safety. He has said that he values companies based on their future cash flows. He primarily uses the price-to-earnings, price-to-operating cash flows, and price-to-book ratio to determine if a business is a bargain.
However, before doing this, he looks at specific financial statement ratios to determine the quality of the business:
Return on Net Tangible Assets
Buffett wants the RONTA to be above 20%. These businesses earn high net incomes without using excessive debt.
Formula: Net Income / Net Tangible Assets
Buffett's formula for Net Tangible Assets = Total Assets - Total liabilities - Intangible assets
Return on Equity (ROE)
Return on Equity tells us how effective the management is at deploying the capital invested by shareholders. A high ROE usually indicates that management is a good capital allocator. Keep in mind, that the ROE can be manipulated by using debt, as it minimizes shareholders’ equity (Total assets - Total liabilities = Shareholders’ equity).
Formula: Net Income / Shareholder's Equity
Shareholder's equity is the claims shareholders have on the company when all debts are paid.
Profit Margins
Buffett is looking for companies that are growing at 10% annually with high profit margins. If margins are expanding over time, it’s even better.
Formula: Net income / Net sales
High margins can be a reflection of the management's ability to operate the business and the competitive advantage.
Earnings per Share
The favorite measure of Buffett to assess growth is earnings per share.
Formula: Net Income / Shares Outstanding
Earnings per share is useful as it also accounts for the company's share count. A business that buys back shares will increase its EPS if all else stays the same. This is why Buffett watches the earnings per share and not just the earnings.
Allegedly, a large reason for Buffett buying Apple was its cash-generating abilities coupled with its willingness to buy back shares and hence increase its per-share value.
Debt to equity
Buffett uses the Debt-equity ratio to determine how leveraged a business is.
Formula: Total Liabilities / Shareholder's Equity
An ideal DE ratio depends on the industry, however, Buffett prefers a DE below 1. Coupling the D/E ratio with the ROE is essential, as the D/E ratio will give us an idea of how leveraged a business is. For example, if a business has a debt-to-equity ratio of 3, we know that the business has 3 times more debt than equity in the business. This is a highly leveraged business, and in this case, a high Return on Equity is not impressive.
Free Cash Flow
FCF is a measure of the cash left after the business has paid off its required investments in working capital and fixed assets.
Formula: Cash Flow From Operations - Capital Expenditures
FCF is a measure that is used to value the cash flows of a business
Note: You should subtract the stock-based compensation from the FCF figure. Additionally, you could choose to exclude the “growth CapEx” from the FCF, as we want the “Maintenance Capex” required to operate the business, not grow it. Read more about this in our free guide on How to Analyze the Financial Statements.
Capital light
Buffett prefers businesses that don't require extensive capital to operate. He prefers capital-light businesses such as See's Candy. Buffett prefers companies that require very little excess capital to operate and grow. These businesses are rare but can make you a fortune.
Formula: Capital Expenditure / Operating cash flow
The ratio should be below 20% ideally, depending on the industry.
“We still love a business that takes very little capital and earns high returns, and continues to grow, and requires very little incremental capital”.
Warren Buffett
Read my recent article on the subject:
Retained earnings
Buffett believes retained earnings is one of the most important metrics to consider. Retained earnings are the excess cash a business keeps after paying a dividend. What management decides to do with this excess capital becomes essential to determine if they are intelligent capital allocators, and manage to earn an excess return with the capital.
Formula: RE = Net income - dividends
The excess cash can be used to:
Reinvest in the business’ operation — International expansion, new products or services, new factories and so on.
Pay off debts — The business might have expensive debt that they have to pay a high interest on. Sometimes the best move is to derisk the business.
Buy back shares — Great capital allocators will do this when the price of the stock is below its intrinsic value. Share buybacks at elevated share prices are not considered intelligent capital allocation.
Look for companies that grow their retained earnings over time and investigate what the management decides to do with the excess capital.
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What is the rationale for return on NTA (ie excluding intangibles)? As the company has paid a premium to NTA in an acquisition they want a return on the total investment (including intangibles paid away). Is it simply because you are trying to measure the underlying return the business can generate on its capital rather than the market value of that capital (ie total amount paid in an acquisition)?
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I know of many novice investors who may benefit from this article. Do I have your permission to share it with selected 2-3 as an email, so that they can read the whole article and not just the free portion. I will not share it unless I have your permission.
Hope to meet you in Omaha next month. If you decide to go, please DM me in Twitter, so we can arrange a meeting.
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